Tuesday, August 31, 2010

Portfolio - August 2010

My Portfolio for the month of August 2010.

Company Date Purchased Purchased Price Market Price Gain/Loss





Ezion 7-May-07 0.57 0.61 7.02%
Ezra 20-May-09 1.28 1.77 38.28%
Innotek 01-Apr-10 0.555 0.51 -8.11%
Cambridge 14-Jul-10 0.505 0.51 0.99%
SP Austnet 12-Aug-10 0.96 0.97 1.04%

Dividend
Cambridge has XD on 20th August 2010 and is giving out S$0.0068.

Sell
YangZiJiang was sold on 10th August 2010 at $1.44 with a gain of ~18%.

Purchase
Added more on Cambridge at the same price on 2nd August 2010.
Bought SP Austnet on 12th August 2010.

Ezra’s $155.3m rights issue a surprise: Analyst

Ezra Holdings’ (5DN.SG) $155.3 million cash call catches investors off guard as “they still have quite a lot of funds,” says analyst at Singapore brokerage, according to Dow Jones.

Supplier of offshore support vessels proposing 1-for-5 rights issue at $1.18 each, priced at 33.3% discount to last close, yielding $1.67 theoretical ex-rights price. Proceeds will be used to fund new business ventures, capex, vessel acquisitions.

Move comes three months after Ezra unveiled US$100 million ($136 million) financing from three-year notes and loan facility, follows US$100 million convertible bond sale last year. “It’s quite a surprise, not to mention dilutive and priced at a steep discount,” analyst adds.

Ezra has US$163 million in cash, US$568.2 million in equity, with 1.0x gearing. 131.6 million rights shares will be issued but size increases to 142.8 million if bond holders convert. Stock halted since morning, closed +1.1% at $1.77 yesterday. No mention yet of resumption.

Ezion started at Buy with $0.85 target by Pareto Sec

Pareto Securities starts Ezion Holdings (5ME.SG) at Buy with $0.85 target price, pegged at 8.3x FY12 P/E, according to Dow Jones.

Pareto Securities notes supplier of offshore support vessels adopts growth strategy focusing on Australian liquified natural gas, lift-boat markets.

Broker says Western Australia’s offshore LNG market growing rapidly, with total estimated capex for LNG projects approaching US$120 billion ($163 billion).

Adds Ezion’s recent moves to set up two supply bases in Australia will better enable company to bid competitively for projects. Notes Ezion has 4 lift-boats, of which two are secured charter contracts until 2014. Shares closed –0.8% at $0.625 yesterday.

Sunday, August 29, 2010

High Yield Reits

Reit Market Cap ($ Mil) Price at 25th Aug 2010 ($) Current DPU (Cents) Forecast DPU (Cents) Current Yield (%) Forecast Yield (%)

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial Reit
322.6 0.22 2.16 2.08 9.82 9.45

Cambridge Industrial Trust
483.2 0.505 4.96 5 9.82 9.9

India Bulls Property Inv Trust
868.6 0.24 2.3 2.3 9.58 9.58

Lippo Mapletree
Indon Retail Trust
518.3 0.48 4.7 4.9 9.79 10.21

First Reit
243.1 0.88 7.68 7.68 8.73 8.73

Fortune Reit (HK $)

5949.6

3.63

30.2

25.4

8.32

7

Frasers Commercial Trust
448.1 0.145 0.96 1.3 6.62 8.97

Tuesday, August 24, 2010

AIMS AMP Reit plans $79m rights issue

Funds raised to buy warehouse and logistics facility

AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT (AIMSAMPIREIT) is looking to acquire a ramp-up warehouse and logistics facility for $161 million, which will be partially funded through a rights issue.

It has proposed to acquire C&P Logistics Hub 2 – located at 27 Penjuru Lane – from DB International Trust (Singapore) Limited, which is the trustee of AMP Capital Business Space REIT.

As AMP Capital Business Space REIT is indirectly wholly-owned by AMP Capital Holdings, who is the sponsor and a controlling unitholder of AIMSAMPIREIT, the acquisition is considered to be a related party transaction.

The total cost of the acquisition is $163.1 million, which includes the $161 million purchase consideration, a $1.6 million acquisition fee for AIMSAMPIREIT’s manager AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT Management, and about $0.5 million in professional and other fees and expenses.

To help fund the acquision, AIMSAMPIREIT has proposed to issue 513.3 million new units through a fully underwritten and renounceable rights issue on a basis of seven rights units for every 20 existing units at an issue price of $0.155 per unit. The issue price represents a discount of 32.6 per cent to the closing price of $0.23 per unit on 19 August.

This will raise gross proceeds of some $79.6 million, of which $64.5 million will be channelled toward the acquisition.

Its sponsors, AIMS Financial Group and AMP Capital Investors (Luxembourg No. 4) SARL, have agreed to subscribe for their pro rata rights entitlements of 39.28 million and 82.5 million rights units respectively. Six unitholders, including Dragon Pacific Assets Limited and APG Algemene Pensioen Groep NV, have also committed to subscribing for their pro-rata rights entitlements and in some cases, to sub-underwrite a portion of the rights issue.

The warehouse facility, with a net lettable area of 975,823 sq ft, is leased out to C&P Holdings in a master lease that will expire in December 2012. It has a net property income yield of 7.7 per cent. Its annual rental for the rental year ending Dec 11, 2010, is $13 million.

Independent valuations by Colliers International Consultancy & Valuation (Singapore) and CB Richard Ellis put the purchase consideration at $162.5 million and $165 million respectively.

‘From management’s point of view, we think that we’re buying well, in a good part of the cycle. Certainly in our experience, market rents have bottomed, valuations have bottomed,’ said Nicholas McGrath, chief executive officer of AIMS AMP Capital Industrial REIT Management. ‘What we’re seeing now is increases in market rentals across our portfolio, which will translate to increases in valuations in the future.’

The acquisition also provides for the refinancing of the trust’s existing loan on improved terms. While the existing loan has an interest margin of 3.5 per cent, the $280 million new loan will have a weighted average interest margin of 2.16 per cent. The new loan is split into three tranches – a three-year $100 million term loan facility, a three- year $80 million revolving credit facility and a five- year $100 million term loan facility.

Mr McGrath also said that AIMSAMPIREIT will look to grow its presence in Asia in the medium to long term, especially in markets such as Japan and China. In Singapore, it will carry out enhancement works to increase the net lettable area at some of its properties.

It currently has 25 properties in Singapore and one in Japan.

If the acquisition goes through, its portfolio size will increase by 25.3 per cent to nearly $800 million.

The proposed acquisition is subject to unitholders’ approval at an extraordinary general meeting, which will be held on Sep 13.

Monday, August 23, 2010

AIMS AMP to buy property for $161m

Singapore’s AIMS AMP Capital Industrial Reit said on Monday it plans to buy a property, which includes a warehouse and logistics facility, in the city-state for $161 million.

The property has an initial net property income yield of 7.7% and AIMS AMP Capital will finance the acquisition from debt and equity, the company said in a statement.

AIMS AMP was formerly known as MacarthurCook Industrial Reit.

Friday, August 20, 2010

Ezion - Cash equaling 30% of market

S$139mn cash waiting to be deployed by October 2010
We retain our Buy rating on Ezion, with an unchanged S$0.93 PO. We estimate
Ezion to have S$139mn cash by October 2010, equivalent to 30% of its current
market cap. This, in our view, puts the group in a strong financial position to bid
for new offshore logistics projects in Australia, and to build more liftboats.
Expect S$20-42mn cash for potential contracts in Australia

We expect Ezion to utilize S$20-42mn of its cash pile to bid for contracts related
to offshore gas fields in North and Northwest Australia, using the group’s previous
investment in Gorgon Phase 1 as a gauge. The orders could come from Chevronled
Wheatstone and Gorgon Phase 2 projects, Esso-led Scarborough project, or
BHP Billiton’s Macedon project in Australia. The S$3.1-6.6mn accretive net profits
from these potential projects are not yet factored into our earnings forecasts.
Liftboat projects may require S$24-49mn cash investment.

We expect Ezion to announce plans for either 1-2 maintenance or 1 installation
liftboat in 4Q10, following its receipt of S$36mn in net cash by October, from an
earlier sale of a liftboat. Our earnings model has only factored in the building of
one maintenance liftboat, which requires an equity investment of about S$24mn.
There are upsides to our earnings estimates in FY12-13 should Ezion build the
higher value installation liftboat, or two maintenance liftboats (see Page 3).
To deploy S$33mn in cash for recently secured projects.

We estimate Ezion will use S$33mn of net cash proceeds on three contracts
secured from mid-July to mid-August. These projects are the Phase 1
constructions of Exmouth Marine Supply Base and Melville Island Marine Supply
Base, and the building of a pair of landing crafts or tug and barge for marine
logistics works. The incremental earnings are not yet in our earnings model.

Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Cambridge – Phillip

Acquires 2 properties

Acquires 2 properties for $37.1 million.

Private placement to raise gross proceeds of $40.0 million

Maintain hold and fair value of $0.52

Acquisition

Cambridge announced the acquisition of 2 properties at a consideration of $37.1 million. The purchase is at a slight discount to the appraised value of $37.2 million. The property located at 22 Chin Bee Drive has a lease term of 7 years and the initial yield is 9.0%, and there is a rent escalation component of 5% on the 3rd, 5th and 7th year. The property located at 1&2 Changi North St 2 has a lease term of 7 years with an option to renew of another 7 years and the initial yield is 8.01% with annual rent escalation of 1.5%. The total acquisition cost is approximately $37.7 million and will be partly funded with $24.7 million from the private placement proceeds and the remaining $13 million through debt.

Private placement

The private placement consists of 83,683,000 new units which will be placed out to two groups of investor. The first group consists of institutional and other investors and the new units are priced at an issue price $0.478. The second group consists of the Oxley Group and Mitsui & Co Ltd and the new units are prices at $0.503. The private placement is fully underwritten and will raise gross proceeds of $40.0 million and net proceeds of $37.6 million. Part of the net proceeds is used to fund the acquisition while the remaining proceeds will be used for future acquisitions.

Gearing

Gearing is expected to reduce from 42.3% to 41.5% post the acquisition. The REIT will also be repaying $32 million of the existing loan from the divestment proceeds and gearing is expected to further reduce to 39.5%. In relation to the acquisition, Cambridge has secured a $50 million term loan facility and a $20 million revolving credit facility on a 3 year tenor. The term loan facility has an all-in 3.05% interest cost and $13 million will be drawn down to part finance the acquisition.

Advance distribution

Due to the issuance of new units, Cambridge will pay out advance distribution to existing unitholders prior to the issuance of the new units. Management guided the advance payout to be between 0.6 to 0.7 cents. We estimate this to be 0.674 cents and 3Q10 DPU inclusive of the advance distribution to be 1.169 cents.

Cambridge – DBSV

Earnings dilutive acquisitions

Acquisition of 2 assets worth S$37.1m; part-funded by placement of 83.6m new units

Lowered earnings by 2-6% in FY10-11F

Downgrade to HOLD, TP S$0.51.

Looking towards growth. Cambridge REIT acquired 2 industrial properties for S$37.7m, yielding c8.0%. Income from these properties is backed by long-term leases of over 7 years with periodic step-ups. The acquisition is expected to complete in Sept 2010.

Private placement 83.6m new units to raise S$40m gross proceeds; new 3-year debt facility secured. The acquisition will be funded through (i) S$23.7m from private placement proceeds, (ii) S$13m drawn down from its debt facility at estimated c3.05% cost. The remaining placement proceeds of cS$15m will be used for future acquisitions or fund its planned asset enhancement initiatives. Gearing post acquisition is expected to head down to 41.5% from 42.3% as of 30th Jun 2010.

Dilutive to earnings, DPU adjusted downwards by 2-6%. Expect earnings dilution since placement price implies a yield of 10% against the asset yield of c8%. Our DPU estimates are adjusted downwards to 5.0 – 4.8 Scts in FY10-11F, reflecting the transaction.

Downgrade to HOLD, TP adjusted to S$0.51. We are somewhat surprised at management’s decision to acquire assets that are earnings dilutive. We remain on look out for future initiatives (AEI plans) that would grow earnings to offset the dilution. Given limited upside to our TP of S$0.51, we downgrade the stock to HOLD.

Monday, August 16, 2010

Cambridge Industrial cut to Outperform by CLSA

CLSA downgrades Cambridge Industrial Trust (J91U.SG) to Outperform from Buy on reduced upside to its $0.54 target price, says Dow Jones.

CLSA trims FY10-12 DPU estimates by 2%-3% to reflect dilution due to enlarged unit base following recent private placement to help fund S$37.1 million acquisition of 2 industrial properties in Singapore.

Research house notes CIT plans to retire $32 million of debt this month, bringing gearing to 39.5% from 41.5%; “our key concern is further equity dilutive acquisitions.” REIT off 1.0% at $0.505.

Friday, August 13, 2010

Ezion +1.6%; More contracts expected: CIMB

Ezion Holdings (5ME.SG) +1.6% at $0.65 as stronger 2Q10 performance suggests demand for company’s offshore support vessels, logistics services likely to remain resilient, says Dow Jones.


Expectations backed by Ezion clinching A$70 million ($85.4 million) contract from unnamed multi-national oil major to carry out marine logistics work in Australia over 4 years.

Project comes just weeks after Ezion unveiled plans to set up 2 bases in Australia to support country’s offshore oil & gas sector.

“With the set-up of the two Australian marine supply bases, we are expecting Ezion to secure (more) marine logistics contracts,” says CIMB, which has Outperform call with $0.98 target. 2Q10 net profit at $16.5 million vs S$4.1 million year earlier on gain from divestment of 1 of its jack-up rigs, plus higher chartering revenue.

Orderbook quotes suggest this week’s high of $0.675 unlikely to give way.

Monday, August 2, 2010

Charts - SP Austnet

SP Austnet is treading on the base of the range.
Has the trend changed from uptrend to down trend?
Support at $0.98/$0.975. A break may see $0.965/$0.96
MACD and Stochastics turning down.

Charts - YangZiJiang

YZJ broke $1.47 resistance today on a upward trend.
Strong support at $1.45.
Range between $1.41 to $1.52.
Will it surpass its last high of $1.56?

Charts - Ezra

Ezra is on an uptrend with higher highs and higher lows.
Resistance at $2.04.
Natural support at $2.00.
Range from $1.98 to $2.10

Charts- Ezion

Resistance at 0.71 cents.
Support at 0.695 cents.
MACD turning down.
RSI in overbought region.